Friday, July 22, 2011

Hamburg Quarterfinals

The time is passing quickly and we are now in the quarterfinals. Yesterday,
Cilic managed to come back and win the game with Tobias Kamke, while Kohlschreiber lost to Almagro. I think that today Cilic will face a much better opponent in Mikhail Youzhny and I don't think it will be enough to just wake up in the middle of the game and win with yet another comeback. Youzhny is a very determined player and Cilic is not Reister you might argue, however, I think his ambition will pay off against a letargic Cilic.
In the head to head stats, Youzhny leads 4 to 1, but mist importantly, I think that unless Cilic does something out of the ordinary, the Russian will advance to the next round. In the next game of the quarterfinals, Gael Monfils (#7) is favorite against Frenchman Gilles Simon.
The only confrontation between the two dates back in 2009, at the Australian Open where
Simon claimed victory in 3 sets. However, Monfils feels good on clay, this year advancing to the quarter finals of Roland Garros, where he lost to Roger Federer. Monfils is a surprising player, and he can loos to anybody ( see the last game with Hanescu ), or he can have a great day and win against anybody. There is a certain risk in backing Monfils here, but betting is not an exact science and after all its all about feeling.

Here are my picks of the day:

1. Mikhail Youzhny to win @1.50 (4/5)
2. Gael Monfils to win @1.53 (3/5)
3. Nicolas Almagro to win first set @1.44 (3/5)
4. Jurgen Melzer to win @2.20

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