Friday, July 15, 2011

ATP Bastad Semifinals

Here we are in the semifinals stage.
First semifinal is between Robin Soderling(5) and Tomas Berdych(8). The head to head record between the two players is 8-4 for Soderling, with the last game on clay won by the Swede at Roland Garros 2010 in 5 sets. We have two strong, solid players; their heights only differ by 1'', with 6'4'' for Soderling and 6'5'' for Berdych. This year's last experience on clay lasted longer for Soderling, who lost in the quarter finals to Rafael Nadal, while Tomas Berdych lost in the first round to Frenchman Stephane Robert (140).
Until now, both players faced two opponents and none of them conceded a set. I believe it will be a balanced game, but I also see Robin Soderling advancing to the finals, such as he did in 2009 (when he won the title) and 2010( when he was runner up to the other semifinalist, Nicolas Almagro).
I am thinking of these bets for this game:
- Over 9.5 games 1st set @1.66 ( www.paddypower.com )
- Robin Soderling to win @1.44 ( www.bet365.com )
- Under 22.5 games ( www.paddypower.com )

The second semifinal is that between two Spaniards Nicolas Almagro and David Ferrer, two former finalists, with Nicolas Almagro having won the 2010 title and David Ferrer the 2007 one. The match record between the two players shows 7-0 for Ferrer, with the last two games on clay this year, in the Acapulco final and Barcelonda semifinal stages. However, Nicolas Almagro has a very good record on clay this year, being surpassed only by Rafael Nadal. Even though given the record is hard not to see Ferrer as the big favorite, I would also say that there is value in backing Almagro, so we have:
- Over 21.5 @1.72 ( ( www.paddypower.com )
- Nicolas Almagro to win @3.40 ( www.bet365.com )

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