Monday, August 1, 2011

ATP Washington, Round 1

Round 1 of Legg Mason classic begins today. Singles draws are set and can be seen here.
More information about this tournament can be found on their website.
The odds for the predictions have been taken from www.valuchecker.co.uk which provides odds comparison to get the best value out of our bets.

1. Gilles Muller(#68) vs Igor Kunitsyn(#58).
Statistically speaking, Muller has the better serve, with 77% points won
on the first serve, compared to Kunitsyn's 67%. On the other hand, the
return records show better percentages for Kunitsyn. On hard court,
in all tournaments this year, including challengers, Kunitsyn has a 20W/9L
record, with the most noteworthy result being the victory against Ryan Sweeting (#66)in two sets that ended with a tie break.
Gilles Muller has a 14W/5L record on hard court in 2011, taking down higher ranked players such as Alex Bogomolov(#56) or Kevin Anderson(#37). His defeats were against top players: Robin Soderling, Mardy Fish and even John Isner.

Prediction: Gilles Muller to win @1.57 (4/5) - bet365.

2. Radek Stepanek(#54) vs Philipp Petzschner(#79)

These players have not met before and both have quite similar hard court perfomances this year, with Stepanek having a 5W/5L record while Petzschner has a 6W/6L record. Based on their results this year, this game announces to be a tough one and I believe the actual odds are much closer. Stepanek is capable of handling top players as he demonstrated this year, but Petzscher's performance should not be neglected, he is younger and his service and return records are at least close to the ones of Stepanek.
Many fancy Stepanek and I believe he is a good choice as well, however, I think that Petzschner can win this game and it would be of better value to get the bigger odds.

Prediction: Phillip Petzscher to win @2.22 (2/5) - betfair.

3. Alejandro Falla (#96) vs Chris Guccione(#224).

In this game, bookmakers give the Colombian Alejandro Falla as favorite, however, I think there is more than meets the eye with this game. The head to head statistics favor the Australian, Guccione leading 2 to 1, with the last victory this year, in three sets in Sidney. Falla has a 13W/10L record on hard court (including challengers), while Guccione has been playing more games on this surface having a 16W/10L record.
In my view, the victory of Chris Guccione is definitely an option.

Prediction: Chris Guccione to win @2.12 (2/5) - betfair.

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